by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia).
#Foreign affair #Aggression #Strike then Consolate #Mutual Cooperations #Phillipines, #China, #South China Sea.
The current (1990 to 2017) situation on the Scarborough Shoal (Dao Vanh Khan as claimed by Vietnam) in the Sea of West Phillipines is interesting, It offers an example of the Tactic of Strike-then-Consolate in diplomacy.
Its resultant “mutual cooperations” are then revealed as only part of a long term plan for further aggression.
1. Concept of Strike-then-Consolate.
The aggressor nation finds an opportunity to attack the victim nation and makes territorial gains. Right after that, before international reaction can develop, the aggressor offers to give back half the gains to make peace with the weaker victim. The weak victim may accept that offer if it cannot rely on internarional help or if its unpopular leader wants to make external peace to have time to strengthen his grip on domestic power (that is its leader sacrifies national interests to further his personal gains).
2. Application of Strike-then-Consolate.
2a. The aggressor nation looks for a neighbour with unpopular leader. Failing that it may promote corruptions, non-transparent dealings in that country to weaken popular support for the government of that nation.
2b. When popular support of the intended victim nation has reached a low point, the aggressor creates economic, environmental, social chaos to brew anti-government protests, uprisals and revolts.
2c. The defence of the victim nation is then dispirited and weakened.
2d. A quick military attack is carried out for territorial gains.
2e. A peace delegate is immediately sent to the victim nation to offer peace with the return of half of the territorial gains together with some economic aids! “Mutual Cooperations” are part of the package of economic “aids” by the aggressor to its victim.
3. “Mutual Cooperations” are never a fair deal.
“Mutual cooperations” from the aggressor always require from the victim nation the following conditions:
3a. Not to take the aggressor to any international authority.
3b. The victim nation giving unaccountable benefits to its deal makers (that is giving high rewards to those who favors the deal).
3c. The victim nation allowing personels of the aggressor to be in vital future positions.
3d. The victim nation demoting fervent nationalists in its defence force.
3e. The victim nation ceasing most of its defence industrial plans.
3f. The victim nation reorganizing its government and development plans to suit the aggressor.
4. So what are Mutual Cooperations in reality?
Mutual Cooperations are only a conditional surrender to the aggressor.
Sun Tzu said that the best victory is a victory gained without using the army!
. Sun Tzu, The Art of War. First published in Chinese before 200BC.
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