Covid-19 numbers from China may be upto 273,593

Covid-19 numbers from China may be upto 273,593

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia).

As Czechia (https://survivaltricks.wordpress.com/2020/03/27/80-of-virus-tests-china-sent-to-czech-republic-faulty/) and Spain (https://survivaltricks.wordpress.com/2020/03/27/spain-finds-70-of-chinas-virus-tests-are-fake/) have discovered that their Chinese supplied Covid-19 detection kits only gives 30% of the positive results, the number of confirmed cases in China must be modified.

The reported figures to WHO for 27 Mar 2020 from China is:
China 82078 117 3298 5 Local transmission 0.

If 100% of the infection figure of 82078 has been obtained by those test kits then the real figure would be

(82078)/(30%) = 273,593

If only 50% of the infection figure of 82078 has been obtained by those test kits then the real figure would be

(82078×50%)/(30%) + (82078×50%) = 136,796 + 41,039 = 177,835

If 0% of the infection figure of 82078 has been obtained by those test kits then the real figure would not need this modification.

So the infection figure from China may be up to 273,593 for 27 Mar 2020.

If we take this infection figure then the fatality rate for Covid-19 in China may fall down to 3298/273,593 = 1.2%, a figure which is comparable to European figures.