is ahead in the rematch with the US and, this time, has every chance of
coming out on top. That’s according to one well-known Moscow scholar,
newspaper Argumenty I Fakty, the academic argued that Moscow is now much
stronger than it was during the late Soviet period, and the West has
weakened in that time.
Karaganov has been one of Russia’s top
foreign-policy theorists for decades, and has also advised President
Vladimir Putin in the past. He is currently the head of the World
Economy and International Affairs faculty at the Higher School of
Economics (HSE), a prestigious university in Moscow. He is also
well-known for the eponymous ‘Karaganov doctrine,’ which states that
Moscow should act as a defender of human rights for ethnic Russians
living in the near abroad.
“There are several factors that allow us to talk about good chances for success,” the professor explained.
he claims, during the Cold War, the Soviet Union was concerned with
enemies on more than one front. Now, with Beijing on the side of Moscow,
Russia can utilize China as a strategic resource, he went on to say.
Secondly, the country is much more prosperous than it was during the
latter years of the USSR. And most importantly, the West is
significantly less powerful than it was in the past.
“But, to win even against a weakening but still powerful West, we need to pursue the right policies, both at home and abroad,” Karaganov warned.
He also pointed to the “burdens”
of the Soviet Union that don’t apply to Russia, such as what he
described as Moscow’s need to feed half of the world despite local food
shortages, as a benefit in its current situation. He sees the lack of
dependent client states as an advantage in Russia’s current situation.
“Georgia received the most money per capita in the USSR, and Ukraine received the most money in absolute terms,” he explained. “It is no coincidence that, with the loss of these subsidies, all of them became dramatically poorer.”
When it comes to China, Karaganov dubs the relationship a “semi-alliance,” noting that it came about due to the West’s geostrategic failures. However, the political scientist warned against “selling the country’s sovereignty” to Beijing, repeating the mistakes of Europe’s close friendship with Washington in the past.
is well-known for his favorable opinion of relations between Russia and
China, and has pushed for a closer relationship between Beijing and
“Knowing Russian history and the psychology of our
people and political class, I think that we will not sell our
sovereignty to anyone,” he added. “I also hope for the wisdom of the Chinese political class. If I were Chinese, I would never do anything against Russia.”
Furthermore, China isn’t Russia’s only close partner, Karaganov
stated. Moscow now has friendly relations with most Arab countries,
Iran, India, and even with some European Union states, such as Hungary
“We are seeing a watershed. We will find out who
will be part of ‘Greater America’ – like the US and Northwest Europe –
and who will be on the side of ‘Greater Eurasia.’”
“The big question is where Germany will end up,”
he concluded, referring to the dominant NATO power that has embarked on
the controversial Nord Stream 2 project with Russia, despite staunch
objections from NATO allies and Washington.