National Debt Breaks All-Time Record for Highest Portion of U.S. Economy | Centinel2012

Re-posted from Just The Facts By James D. Agresti June 10, 2020


The U.S. national debt has just reached 120.5% of the nation’s annual economic output, breaking a record set in 1946 for the highest debt level in the history of the United States. The previous extreme of 118.4% stemmed from World War II, the deadliest and most widespread conflict in world history.

US Q2 GDP Crashes By A Record 32.9%, Worse Than Great Depression

Tyler Durden

Thu, 07/30/2020 – 08:35

The biggest question we had ahead of today’s unprecedented GDP drop was “how do we show it on a chart without losing the impact of all other prints?” Well, for better or worse, this is the best we could come up with: at -32.9% annualized, Q2 GDP just plunged by the most on record, surpassing the previous biggest drop of -10% hit in 1958.

We Are On Our Own In The Post-Covid World – Rigged Game

While often presented in the media as a puzzling thing without any root cause, both the income and wealth gaps are the direct result of Federal Reserve policies and actions Helped, of course, by lobbyists for the elites influencing Congressional tax legislation.

So it’s no accident that over time, tax rates on the rich have been substantially cut:

You Could Get Mad as Hell and Just Not Take This Anymore! | US Issues

Comment by tonytran2015: Corporations have too much priviledge posted on 2020 July 22.

It’s time to show you’re Fed up! Get mad as hell! Don’t take this any more! Scorch the earth with your rage! Yell from the rooftops! Stick your head out the window and scream! Fight the economic injustice that serves the rich! Kick political asses, and kick them hard! Don’t just whine, do something about it!

Ten commandments to show you’re Fed up!

1) End manipulated markets by taking away the Fed’s mandate to create sound employment, The addition of this mandate gave the Federal Reserve way too much economic power! Denude the Federal Reserve back to its one original mandate — maintaining a stable money supply.

2) Force-feed the Fed to target a “symmetric” inflation rate of 0%, instead of targeting 2%, which is nothing but a promise your wealth will be endlessly pulled away from you so that you don’t save for your own self-preservation. It encourages you to take on debt. Forget about the gold standard; that’s wistful thinking. In the past, it resulted in the government seizing all gold and taking control of gold prices. Take a practical attack, and simply limit the Fed to maintain zero inflation. That would hugely reduce the Fed’s power and strip it of its ability to manipulate the economy and the stock market to the advantage of the top 1%. People have the power to force their government to make this change, whether the government thinks it’s a good idea or not. Use it!

3) Require FULL auditing and disclosure of ALL Fed transactions with ALL institutions, but limit the disclosure of transactions to, say, five years after the fact so that disclosure does not cause bank runs. That cuts off the Fed’s argument against full disclosure. Knowledge that everything will eventually be brought into complete daylight will go a long way toward curbing corruption. Daylight the Fed and the world of finance.

4) Put Glass-Steagall fully back in place as an essential firewall that was created in the last depression to limit how banks can play in the stock market. Because the Fed has unlimited power to create money for banks, it has unlimited power to manipulate stocks even without its dual mandate pressing it to manipulate the market. So, put the firewall back up. Everything has gone to hell in a hand basket since Glass-Steagall was taken down.

5) MAKE STOCK BUYBACKS ILLEGAL AGAIN like they were for DECADES! They may have legitimate purposes, but those are hugely outweighed by their illegitimate purpose, which is to manipulate stocks up and to avoid higher taxes for stockholders! (Giving wealthy corporate owners their cut of profits via buyback enrichment means their profits get taxed less as capital gains, rather than as they would be taxed if distributed as dividends). It’s nothing but a tax loophole that serves the rich!

6) Get rid of the hideous special capital gains tax rate that has done nothing but enrich the rich and create wealth disparity! It doesn’t help 401Ks, which are tax-exempt; so it doesn’t help the average person in stocks, other than by driving more money into stocks in an endless cycle to pump up stocks into bubbles that crash and wipe out retirement accounts. The trickle-down lie doesn’t even pass the common-sense test! Why would anyone invest their savings from their gains into creating new factories and creating more jobs when everyone knows the money you make years down the road by that hard route will be taxed at a higher level than if you just recycle the money into stocks and make your gains the easy way??? It’s a self-defeating concept. Low taxes on capital gains, assure money just endlessly spins in stock cycles, rather than actually gets invested in company development and productivity and other things that develop our economy. It’s nothing but a savings for the rich! And it never trickles down! Make capitalism serve everyone equally by taxing everyone equally. Why do we continue to allow a huge loophole that assures the rich actually pay a lower tax rate on most of their income than the middle class who cannot afford to play in these risk markets???

7) Stop socializing the losses of the so-called capitalists! George Bush claimed he had to give up his capitalist principles to save capitalism with bailouts. Bull$&!! He saved capitalists by socializing all their losses. He stabbed capitalism in the back! Capitalism only works if it burns out all the deadbeats by making them own their own failures. We have a nation run by corporate giants who are wholly capitalists when it comes to hoarding all their gains, but wholly socialists when it comes to offloading all their losses or the risks from their losses onto tax payers. Stop this stupidity! Kill it! Dead! You have the power to take over with your vote if you can wake up the sleeping masses to know they are being skinned while they sleep. So, wake them up! Yell at them until they crawl off their crumb-covered couches!

8) Rewrite corporate laws to assure corporate execs and board members are personally at full risk for their poor decisions. Why did we let the people who wrecked the entire world with the Great Financial Crisis get richer??? How dumb can you get? Tighten up corporate law to strip all board members and all top executives of all their stock ownership in any kind of bankruptcy. EVERY PENNY of stock ownership in the beleaguered company or of bond ownership must be stripped away entirely from the captains and top crew if their ship goes down. Last time around, we even allowed their bonuses just so they would keep running their companies! Who cares if they keep running their companies when they are the ones who ran them into the ground because of their unpoliced greed?! They are not indispensable as they pretend to be. Let smarter people from smaller companies fill their places if they quit. Who cares??? That was a bonehead argument in the last crisis, and we sat back and allowed it to happen!

9) If the principals do anything that is criminally negligent or outright illegal, put ALL of their personal wealth at risk, and put them in prison for as long as possible! Corporate law should NOT shield any part of their personal wealth if they make grossly negligent or fraudulent decisions. So, all their homes, their cars, their boats, their art, their jewels, their stocks and bonds, their offshore accounts — everything you can find and put your hands on — should by law be sucked back to pay what the company going bankrupt owes or the costs of criminal pursuit for the federal or state government. We created corporations by writing corporate law. We can recreate them to serve the public good. Drain the corrupt rich executives until they’re DEAD! Laws CAN be rewritten to make that a fact of life for those who think they should be in the corporate driver’s seat. You want the big bucks and the glory, then take all the risk and responsibility!

10) Bust up corporations, especially banks, that are too big to fail! Why did we acknowledge they were “too big to fail” and then allow them to get even bigger, instead of breaking them down like we did with AT&T? That’s insane! End this conglomeration corporate-power madness! Save the employees by putting failing companies under temporary trustee control and letting the executives and stock holders perish in bankruptcy court, while parsing the companies down into smaller parts in the bankruptcy process. Stop allowing companies that are already too big to fail to conglomerate even more!

YELL! Am I yelling with all of these capitals and italics and exclamation points? You’re damn right! SO SHOULD YOU BE! YELL YOUR HEADS OFF! NOW OR NEVER BECAUSE THE BAILOUTS ARE ALREADY HAPPENING EVERYWHERE! SCREAM TO THE MOON! The rich are getting richer again! So, take command! Demand these sensible changes! Beat the establishment before it beats you into the dust again! If you don’t, you can just lay back and die on your couch and deserve the dust that covers your crumby corpse for being so complacent! This is still a democracy, though a damned poor one; so, use it while you still can!




A Lot of Americans Are About to Lose Their Homes – Rigged Game

Before the pandemic, half of U.S renters spent 30 percent of their income on housing. The poorest quintile of Americans spent more than half their income on rent, on average. Even in a healthy economy, housing costs were eating workers’ wages.

Then the plague hit, and low-income workers were hit hardest. With the face-to-face economy shut down, the retail and leisure industries shed tens of millions of jobs in a matter of weeks. An analysis by the NYU Furman Center found that in New York City, the households most likely to face an “economic disruption”—including losing a job, or having hours cut back—spent the highest share of their income on housing

What’s Behind The Worst Kept Market Secret Of The Past Three Months: JPMorgan Explains

Tyler Durden Sun, 07/19/2020 – 16:25

Over the past three months we have obsessed over a fascinating market timing phenomenon, one which during the last 10 weeks amounted to a “risk-free” trade: S&P500 returns during the day session have been flat as a pancake since the start of May, while over the same time period, gains during the overnight session have been a diagonal line, accounting for all of the market’s upside since May 1, a whopping 314 S&P points.

Do This Before Politicians Make You Pay Your “Fair Share”, by Jeff Thomas | STRAIGHT LINE LOGIC

Bloated governments around the world are faced with worsening fiscal conditions. Strapped for cash, they continue to squeeze every drop of wealth that’s within their reach through money printing and higher taxes. Today, we ask Jeff Thomas to weigh in on how to ensure you don’t become collateral damage in the next crisis.

Rabobank: A Man Walks Into A Soviet Car Showroom…

…, the Chinese data remind me of the inverse of an old joke about the Soviet economy, which could never keep supply matching consumer demand.

A man goes into the Soviet car showroom and asks to buy a car. The disinterested salesman doesn’t even put out his cigarette and says, “We only take 100% cash payments.” The man puts down a bag full of roubles on the table. The salesman sits up and counts them greedily.

“The only colour is grey,” he informs the customer as he counts.

“No problem,” the man replies. “When will it arrive?”

The salesman slowly looks through a dog-eared book and says “Mmm…….five years from today.”

The customer nods sagely; and then asks “Morning or afternoon?”

“What do you care morning or afternoon?” asks the salesman “It’s five years from now!”

“Well,” says the customer, “I am getting my fridge in the morning.”

One wonders how long until we get such biting jokes about how our current market economies try to keep up consumer demand with no real wage increases against a never-ending increase in global supply… Yet central planning without a plan is not that funny for most of us.

‘Father Of Credit Risk Modeling’ Has Ominous Warning Over “Insolvent” Companies Piling Up Debt

For Altman, some of the debt sold “kicks the can down the road” for firms that don’t deserve support.

Altman is most famous for his “Z Score”, which is used to predict the likelihood that a business will go bankruptwithin the next two years.

The formula is based on information found in the income statement and balance sheet of an organization; as such, it can be readily derived from commonly-available information. The Z score is based on the liquidity, profitability, solvency, sales activity, and leverage of the targeted business. Given the ease with which the required information can be found, the Z Score is a useful metric for an outsider who has access to a company’s financial statements. In its original form, the Z score formula is as follows:

Z = 1.2A x 1.4B x 3.3C x 0.6D x 0.99E

(Z = 1.2A + 1.4B + 3.3C + 0.6D + 0.99E, should rather be)

The letters in the formula designate the following measures:

A = Working capital / Total assets [ Measures the relative amount of liquid assets]

B = Retained earnings/ Total assets [Determines cumulative profitability]

C = Earnings before interest and taxes / Total assets [measures earnings away from the effects of taxes and leverage]

D = Market value of equity / Book value of total liabilities [incorporates the effects of a decline in market value of a company’s shares]

E = Sales / Total assets [measures asset turnover]

A Z score of greater than 2.99 means that the entity being measured is safe from bankruptcy. A score of less than 1.81 means that a business is at considerable risk of going into bankruptcy, while scores in between should be considered a red flag for possible problems. The model has proven to be reasonably accurate in predicting the future bankruptcy of entities under analysis.

This scoring system was originally designed for manufacturing firms having assets of $1 million or more. Given the targeted nature of the model, it has since been modified to be applicable to other types of organizations.

The Economic Death March Has Come To Town! | US Issues

UCLA Anderson Forecast senior economist David the UCLA Anderson Forecast revised its outlook for the U.S. economy downward because of the expected impact of COVID-19, which was then still being referred to as an epidemic. Two weeks later, as the economy began shutting down because of the pandemic, the Forecast released the first revision in its 68-year history to assert that the U.S. economy was already in recession.

Now, in its second quarterly forecast of 2020, the Forecast team states that the global health crisis has “morphed into a Depression-like crisis” and that it does not expect the national economy to return to its 2019 fourth-quarter peak until 2023. U.S. employment will not recover until “well past 2022…. “Simply put, despite the Paycheck Protection Program, too many small businesses will fail and millions of jobs in restaurants and personal service firms will disappear in the short run. We believe that even with the availability of a vaccine, it will take time for consumers to return to normal.…”