Avoiding False Flag traps for witnesses

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia).

#False flag operation, #killing witness, #traps for witnesses,

Avoiding False Flag traps for witnesses.

At present time, False Flag Operations have become not rare. When authorities calling for witnesses after a terror attack, the good citizens have the tendency to help but they may bring harm onto themselves if the attack were actually organized by the authorities (Killing witness is then a possibility).

When a false flag attack is carried out by an authority, anyone with revealing evidence may get silenced or killed and respondents to calls for witnesses may bring harms to themselves.

1. Recognizing signs of false flag operations. 

a/ The operation may be a Falae Flag one when authority UNREASONABLY requires any witness to provide his identity, address, when handing in video clips, photos. (While people handing in weapons during amnesty have not been required to supply names and addresses!).

b/ The attack may be false flag operations when there are many interest groups trying to place blame on their opponents. 

c/ People in position of authority may be bought or influenced by any of those groups.


After the car ramming of pedestrians on Flinder Street of Melbourne before 2017 Christmas, Victoria Police of Australia asked people to submit evidence IN PERSON. 

“Police are asking any witnesses to go to the Melbourne West Police Station at 313 Spencer Street” [1].

This is a sign for suspecting a False Flag Operation.

After Las Vegas shooting in 2017, most witnesses disappeared. After many months, there are still no convicing detailed reconstruction of crime scene. This is a sign for suspecting a False Flag Operation.

The attack on USS Liberty ship may not like having witnesses.

2. A better way to submit evidence.

a/ The witness should may many copies of evidence. 
b/ Send one copy to an oversea destination and ask people there to post it anonymously on the internet. Someone will bring it to the attention of the intended recipient.

c/ Send other copies to other oversea destinations if the first copy has been withdrawn from the internet.

d/ Alternatively, connect your smartphone to a live streaming network and pretend not to know of any call for witnesses.



[1]. https://www.sbs.com.au/news/act-of-evil-driver-arrested-after-4wd-hits-pedestrians-on-flinders-street

[2]. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-42464310

[3]. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-21/police-investigate-emergency-incident-in-central-melbourne/9280618

[4]. http://edition.cnn.com/2017/12/22/asia/melbourne-flinders-street-suspect-intl/index.html

[5]. http://www.smh.com.au/victoria/serious-situation-unfolding-at-flinders-and-elizabeth-streets-20171220-h089ce.html

[6]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Las_Vegas_shooting

[7]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Liberty_incident

Added after 13 Jan 2018:

[8]. https://www.globalresearch.ca/the-strange-fate-of-those-who-saw-jfk-shot/5625931

[9]. https://truepundit.com/fbi-agents-working-evidence-of-second-las-vegas-shooter-have-been-directed-by-dc-bosses-to-stand-down/

[10]. https://ukgovernmentwatch.wordpress.com/2018/01/14/records-fbi-knew-las-vegas-gunman-had-stashes-of-big-guns-ammunition-explosives/

[11]. http://canoe.com/news/world/fbi-knew-vegas-gunman-had-big-gun-stashes-records

Latest  How to Blogs,  ,  ,   Mung Beans as grains for self-relianceSimple determination of East Asia lunisolar New Year

Click here to go to Divider63D400 Home Page (Navigation-Survival-How To-Money).

SUBSCRIPTION: [RSS – Posts], [RSS – Comments]

MENU:  [Contents][Blog Image of Contents ][Archives ] [About]


Dried sweet fruits as energy food

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia).

#dried, #sweet, #fruit, #longans, #banana, #survival, #food,

Dried sweet fruits as energy food. 

In general, any sweet fruit can be dried by the Sun and kept as an emergency energy food supply. Dried sweet fruits may also be used as components of food for survival (similarly to chocolate bars).

Many sweet fruits can be dried and kept in this way. They include bananas, longans, jack fruits, apricots, persimons, plums.

1. Advantage of naturally dried fruits.

a/ Dried fruits have practically no water content and is resistant to spoiling by mould.

b/ Dried fruits can be preserved at ambient temperature for a long time.

c. Concentrated sugar inhibits cell growth and bacterial growth. Dried sweet fruits can be preserved at ambient temperature for an even long time.

d. Well prepared dried sweet fruits which are properly kept in refrigerators  can be easily preserved for more than 10 years.

e/ The same fruits may be dried to different extents for totally different market requirements.

Example: Roll pressed bananas may be dried to a dark colour but still in pliable state for consumption in less than a year. They may be dried even further until becoming crunchy and can be preserved for more than a year.

f/ Naturally dried sweet fruit contains NO PRESERVATIVE, is less objectionable to health food enthusiasts.

2. Traditional method of drying fruits by sunlight.

a/ In tropical countries like Vietnam sweet fruits are just peeled and may be additionally cut or pressed into thin slices and placed on aerated plates.

b/ The aerated plates are placed on hot tin (or tiled) roofs every day from 9am to 3pm for about 14 days.

c/ The drying is completed when the fruits or fruit slices reach their individual required dryness.

d/ The drying of plates of fruits needs someone’s watching. The watcher keeps away birds, flies and ants. 

3. Improved method of drying fruits by sunlight. 

Fruit drying operators may place aerated trays of fruits in aerated enclosed glass boxes under sunlight.

This keeps birds, flies and ants out. 

4. Industrial method of drying fruits.

The fruits are placed inside a vacuum vessel and water eveporate from it. 

5. Roughshod methods of drying fruits.

a/ Fruit trays are placed on hot, black bitumen surface of paved roads. This method has been practiced in Vietnam. The dried fruits are then dirty and may have sands small gravels sticking to their surfaces.

b/ Fruits are placed in wire baskets in the hot  exhaust streams of the tractors or the transport trucks. There are rumours that the method may have been practiced in China. The dried fruits then have smoky smells and are contaminated with heavy metals from the exhaust streams.

6. Eating dried fruits.

Figure: Longan Fruits

Figure: Dried longans packed, wrapped and packed in paper box. This box was bought in year 2002.

The Vietnamese name for longans is “long nhãn” (long= dragon, nhãn= eye, long nhãn= eyes of dragons}.

Figure: Boiled longans. The longans come straight from the paper box bought in 2002 in the previous figure, having been kept in a refrigerator for 15 years.

a/ Some can be eaten without further preparation (roll pressed bananas, dried banana).

b/ Some are best boiled before eating (dried longans).

c/ AVOID eating any dried fruits prepared by roughshod methods. 

d/ You must clean your teeth thouroughly after eating dried SWEET fruits, they have high sugar contents. They may cause TOOTH DECAY.


1. Warning on lead and heavy metals contamination of some imported dried fruits may be only the tips of some bigger icebergs.

2. Smoky smell of a dried fruit may be the sign that it had been dried by hot exhaust streams from tractors.

3. Sand and gravel contamination is the sign that the dried fruits had been dried on a road surface.

7. Where to find dried fruits.

Dried fruits may be found in Specialty Asian Foodstores.

The small pack of dried longans in the first figure may cost around 2AUD.



Related SURVIVAL and HOW TO blogs:

Rice as emergency food., posted December 24, 2016


Mung Beans as grains for self-reliance.


Latestdivider43.jpgSURVIVAL  blogs:

 , Navigating with an AM MW radio receiverThe Scorpius constellationQuick fire making using sunlight.,The Orion constellationRice as emergency food , Using GPS in off-grid situationsIdentifying moderately bright navigational starsSlide Sky-Map for displaying tropical stars,…all.

Click here to go to Divider63D400 Home Page (Navigation-Survival-How To-Money).

SUBSCRIPTION: [RSS – Posts], [RSS – Comments]

MENU:  [Contents][Blog Image of Contents ][Archives ] [About]

South Africa, a lesson to be learnt.

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia).

#South Africa,

South Africa, a lesson to be learnt.
There are a lot to be learnt from the history of Sourh Africa. The recent history of the country started with the colonialization by White settlers and continues to the present.

South Africa was among few Nuclear Powers in the 1970 [1]. It was among the 6 countries (USA, UK, Canafa. Australia, New Zealand, Sourh Africa) with mutual defence cooperation.

Currently, South Africa is only known for being a beautiful country and it is only in the middle in the ranking of countries in the World  [2].

The rise and fall of such a country should be a lesson to the policy makers of other countries.


[1]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Africa_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction

[2]. https://www.brandsouthafrica.com/investments-immigration/business/economy/globalsurveys



 magnifier horizontal







 Latest  Social Issues Blogs,    ,  ,  ,   Mung Beans as grains for self-relianceSimple determination of East Asia lunisolar New Year

Click here to go to Divider63D400 Home Page (Navigation-Survival-How To-Money).

SUBSCRIPTION: [RSS – Posts], [RSS – Comments]

MENU:  [Contents][Blog Image of Contents ][Archives ] [About]

Climbing onto your own roof

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia)

#roof climbing, #house repairs,

Climbing onto your own roof.

During a recession, the cost of periodic roof inspections may be high for you. If your house is a single storey one and its roof is neither steep nor slippery then you may be able to climb onto it to carry out the inspections yourself. This will save you money and will also save you from scams on unnecessary repairs carried out by dishonest trademen.

This blog shows the essential safety points in getting onto your own roof.

1. Suitable footwear.

You need shoes with non-slip soft rubber soles.
2. Secure setup of the ladder.

Your climbing ladder must be securely set up.

The ladder should be inclined at the slope of 4 up 1 across. Its top must rest against a firm surface, its base must be on firm ground to stop it from tipping over.

The ladder may additionally need ropes tying it down at 45° to ground pegs on both sides to stop its top from sliding sideways and tipping over.

The top rung of the ladder should be nearly level to the roof surface you intend to climb onto. The two rails of the ladder should be higher than the roof top so that you can hold onto them to get onto or down from the roof top.

3. Safety line from a high point of the roof.
To avoid accidental falling to the ground you need a safety line tied from a high point of the roof to your body.

The other end of the safety line must be tied to a higher point of the roof.

A taut rope thrown across the horizontal ridge line and tied to a heavy sand bag on the ground on the other side of the roof may serve as a safety rope.

To lay such a safety rope, you may need to first throw a ball of feed line across the ridge then use the so laid feed line to pull up the safety rope.

4. Safe climbing onto your roof.
With the above 3 conditions satisfied, you may safely climb onto the non-steep, non-slippery roof of your single storey house.

Make sure that the safety rope has little slack, is strong enough to hold twice your weight and your roof is non-steep, non-slippery, then you can climb onto it. 

If necessary, move on your roof with all your two hands and two feets. This will spread your weight evenly and effectively prevent slips.

When you have got onto the roof, stick to the load bearing lines of your roof. The load bearing lines are along the nail lines of metal sheet roofs or along the horizontal toes lines of European terracotta tile roofs. 


Some roofs (such as brittle tile roofs, thin plastic roofs, glass roofs) have NO LOAD BEARING LINES AT ALL and you must have specialist equipments to safely access them.

A valuable comment by  (https://brittius.wordpress.com/)):

Makes good points. In my younger years, I walked rooftops of structural fire buildings, and there’s more to it. The mattress feeling under your feet. Foreign matter on the roof that can cause slipping. Sub-roof structurally compromised, and collapse under your bodyweight, and I have seen firefighters fall through more than once. There’s a lot to it.



Related HOW TO blogs:

Latest  How to Blogs,

, Mung Beans as grains for self-reliance, Simple determination of East Asia lunisolar New Yearall

Home Page (Navigation-Survival-How To-Money).

SUBSCRIPTION: [RSS – Posts], [RSS – Comments]

MENU: [Contents][Blog Image of Contents ][Archives ] [About]


Blog image of Contents page of Social Issues

Discussions on policies affecting societies.

These are the contents of SOCIAL ISSUES sub-page re-organized in book order for coherent reading.


magnifier horizontal


 magnifier horizontal


 magnifier horizontal


 magnifier horizontal


 magnifier horizontal


 magnifier horizontal


 magnifier horizontal


 magnifier horizontal



 magnifier horizontal



SUBSCRIPTION: [RSS – Posts], [RSS – Comments]

MENU: [Contents][Blog Image of Contents ][Archives ] [About]

Understanding the plays set-up by pretenders heroes/rescuers.

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia).

#Strongman rescueing a beauty, #Foreign Affairs, #Kurd, #Islamic State.

Understanding the plays set-up by pretenders heroes/rescuers.

When a crook wants to befriend a naive person he may stage a false robbery scene so that he would be able to suddenly (“just happened to come by fate”) appear as a rightous hero to rescue the victim (“Strongman rescueing a beauty”). With such impression, he will successfully befriend his victim. From then on he can easily carry out his scam against his victim.

Such staging is well known in most Asian cultures and been widely disseminated in Asian literatures and plays. Prudent people always keep their awareness of such possibilities in their minds.
However, the trick still can trap naive people and can even trap few nations!

1. Application to coups and counter-coups.

A foreign power may stage a coup against the leader of a country. The same foreign power then intervene with the coup to safely bring the losing leader out of the country.
Later on the foreign power may reinstall the leader and gain his total trust.

The coup against Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi of Iran [2] may be of this type.

The power struggle between Khmer Rouge and the late Cambodian Crowned Prince Sihanook in 1976 [1] may also be of this type.

2. Applications to belligerent nations.

Country A and country B have been against each other. A much stronger country C befriends both. Country C secretly arms country B to gain superiority over country A. When the war between B and A occurs and country B nearly vanquishes country A, country C unexpectedly jumps in to mediate. Thereafter,  C becomes the benefactor of A, A may become a satellite vassal state of C.

Iraq, Peshmerga Kurd, Iran-US in 1975 [2] may have been a setup.

Iraq, Islamic State Daesh, USA in 2017 [3] may have been another setup.


[1]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norodom_Sihanouk

[2]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohammad_Reza_Pahlavi

[3]. http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2015/08/u-s-defense-intelligence-agency-head-it-was-a-willful-decision-by-america-to-support-an-insurgency-that-had-salafists-al-qaeda-and-the-muslim-brotherhood.html

Added after 2017 Dec 10th:

[4]. https://brittius.wordpress.com/2017/12/10/u-s-f-22-tried-to-prevent-russian-warplanes-from-bombing-daesh-in-euphrates-valley/

[5]. http://www.thedailysheeple.com/top-ten-conspiracy-theories-that-turned-fact-in-2017_122017

[6]. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/resources/idt-sh/raqqas_dirty_secret

[7]. http://thefreethoughtproject.com/us-govt-planned-1953-iranian-coup-mossadeq/

[8]. https://crayfisher.wordpress.com/2017/12/30/stay-out-of-persia/

[9[. https://riseuptimes.org/2017/07/06/color-revolution-comes-home/

[10]. https://www.blacklistednews.com/Declassified_documents_of_the_1953_CIA-orchestrated_coup_that_ousted_the_democratically-elected_leader_of_Iran/62747/0/38/38/Y/M.html









 magnifier horizontal

 Latest  Social Issues Blogs,   ,  ,  ,   Mung Beans as grains for self-relianceSimple determination of East Asia lunisolar New Year

Click here to go to Divider63D400 Home Page (Navigation-Survival-How To-Money).

SUBSCRIPTION: [RSS – Posts], [RSS – Comments]

MENU:  [Contents][Blog Image of Contents ][Archives ] [About]

​Euthanasia Legalization is a danger to everyone.

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia)

​​#euthanasia, #legalization

Euthanasia Legalization is a danger to everyone.

From the following abuse


it is only an additional small step (using legalized euthanasia) to have people captured in the street and killed against their will.

Added after 2017 December.

Legalized Euthanasia also open up a possibility of Underworld requesting their debtors to volunteer for euthenasia if they cannot pay back their debts. How can the authority stop that?
Do you think that gambling addicted rising film stars in Hong Kong had commited suicides on their own?


[1]. https://fellowshipoftheminds.com/2017/10/25/this-is-america-govt-appointed-guardians-can-sell-assets-of-elderly-without-their-consent/

Added after 2018 Feb 12:

[2]. https://gunnyg.wordpress.com/2018/02/12/oregon-bill-would-allow-starving-mentally-ill-patients-to-death-http-www-lifenews-com-february-5-2018-steve-ertelt-posted-on-2-12-2018-90830-am-by-nkp_vet-apparently-assisted-suicide-is-no/

Herbal Noodle Soup of Stewed, Fried Duck (Mì Vịt Tiềm)

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia).

#Mì Vịt Tiềm, #Stewed Fried duck, #Noodle Soup, #Dioscorea hamiltonii, #Hoài sơn, #Papaya, #borax, #han the, #monosodium gluamate.

Herbal Noodle Soup of Stewed, Fried Duck (Mì Vịt Tiềm) originated from Cantonese or Hakka recipes. It is a delicious, tasty, nutritious, slightly odoured dish and is well liked in Saigon. It is claimed to bring some medicinal benefits and is of higher price than other dishes of ordinary noodle soups.

(Mì=Noodle Soup, Vịt=Duck, Tiềm=Stewed, Slow cooked)

1. Herbal noodle soup of stewed, fried/roasted duck.

Figure: Herbal Noodle with Stewed, Fried/Roasted Duck (Mì Vịt Tiềm) in 300 ml bowl.

The dish may have been called Noodle Soup with Roasted Duck. This is a misnomer as the duck has NOT been roasted in the preparation of this dish.

Herbal Noodle Soup of Fried/Roated Duck (Mì Vịt Tiềm)  is usually served wirh 2 accompanying dishes of Fried Prown Pancake and Crunchy Pickled Slices of Papaya.

Dioscorea hamiltonii in this soup is a a white traditional and Chinese medicinal herb claimed to be good (?) for treating diabet.


1. A nutritious, healthy dish may become a harmful dish if the traditional recipies are not observed.

2. Cooks using unauthentic recipes may put monosodium glutamate in the dish. The traditional recipe has no such modern ingredient

3. About 2hr after eating this dish, your body may have some odour of the dish! This is easily noticeable from the odour of your urine.

4. Your skin may have a light strange sensation caused by the oil and sweat glands excreting some compounds absorbed from the dish.

5. The pickled crunchy sliced papaya in the accompanying dish (the small dish with yellow slices) may have been made crunchy by immersion in a borax solution  (do not eat the dish of sliced papaya if you think that Borax has been used.).

2. Preparation.

Figure: Herbal Noodle with Stewed, Fried/Roasted Duck (Mì Vịt Tiềm) from Melbourne, Australia.

This is not a recipe for preparing the dish, it only tells what may have been involved.

Half a duck is first marinated in some black soy sauce and ginger then fried. It is then stewed (slow cooked) in a herbal soup. The herbal soup has 15g of Shiitake (a type of delicious mushroom), 20g of dried Hoài Sơn (Củ mài = Dioscorea hamiltonii), a white traditional and Chinese medicinal(?) root tuber [1,2,3,4], 15g of lotus seeds, 10g of Chinese plums and 10g of longans. It may also contain Five Spices (commonly a mixture of 1.star anise, 2.amomum, 3.cloves, 4.Sichuan pepper, 5.fennel seeds, 6.liquorice(?), and 7.Chinese cinnamon(?)). The soup is finally served with the half duck.

The half duck soup is served with egg-noodle, Chinese pukchoy, shiitake and longan in the bowl.

Figure: Slices of Hoai Son (Huai Shan in Chinese) in package. 

Hoai Son is claimed to have antidiabetic property (scientific proof is required).

Figure: Shiitake (Nấm Đông Cô), from Wikipedia, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shiitake, file: https://commons.m.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Shiitakegrowing.jpg, licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike,

Figure: Boiled dried longans.

Figure: A Five Spice mixture.

The Crunchy Papaya is usually prepared by immersing slices of papaya in Borax water for days. I would not eat the so prepared papaya due to the use of Borax.


Cooks using non-authentic recipes may put in a lot of monosodium gluamate to fool customers. Traditional, authentic recipes have no such modern ingredient.

In the short term, monosodium glutamate may cause extreme headache, throat congestion, prolong thirst and swelling of your ankles and feet. Do not eat any non-authentic dish prepared with such ingredient.

Borax is banned as a food ingredient. Borax is mainly used as a Welding Flux (for goldsmith welding and for industrial brazing using Acetylene-Oxygen Gas Torches), in Photochemistry (as a Stopper Solution), in Pest Control (the mixture of Borax and Icing Sugar is an Ant Poison). Its Vietnamese name is Hàn The (Hàn=for welding, The=sour taste).

3. Where to find it.

It is an upmarket dish (costing 70000VND =$3.50US in 2017) in Vietnam (in Saigon).  In Australia, it cost $12AUD.

I don’t know how much it would cost in a Vietnamese restaurant outside Vietnam. It may cost you $10.00US (?).


[1]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dioscorea_hamiltonii

[2]. https://caythuoc.org/hoai-son-cu-mai.html
[3]. http://diabetna.vn/hoai-son-cay-thuoc-nam-tri-tieu-duong-bien-chung-noi-tieng.html
[4]. http://www.yhoccotruyen.org/ViewTopic.jsp?tid=4184&fid=5&Page=1&trp=18
[5]. https://gaactiemthuocbac.wordpress.com/about/

[6]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shiitake

[7]. https://www.thespruce.com/how-to-make-five-spice-powder-4065302
[8]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spice_mix

[9]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monosodium_glutamate

[10]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Borax

[11]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lycium_barbarum

[12]. http://baithuocquanhta.com/cay-thuoc/cau-ky-tu-chua-benh/
[13]. https://baodinhduong.com/cau-ky-tu-co-tac-dung-gi/

Related HOW TO blogs:

authentic-herbal-noodle-soup-of-stewed-fried-duck-mi-vit-tiem-chanh-goc, posted 2018/01/12

The-agonizing-choice-of-vietnamese-food-dishes, posted September 27, 2017

Rice as emergency food., posted December 24, 2016


Mung Beans as grains for self-reliance.


Latestdivider43.jpgSURVIVAL  blogs:

 , Navigating with an AM MW radio receiverThe Scorpius constellationQuick fire making using sunlight.,The Orion constellationRice as emergency food , Using GPS in off-grid situationsIdentifying moderately bright navigational starsSlide Sky-Map for displaying tropical stars,…all.

Click here to go to Divider63D400 Home Page (Navigation-Survival-How To-Money).

SUBSCRIPTION: [RSS – Posts], [RSS – Comments]

MENU:  [Contents][Blog Image of Contents ][Archives ] [About]

The various unpleasant consequences of a Real Estate Bubble.

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia)

#Real Estate bubble, 

The various unpleasant consequences of a Real Estate Bubble.

A self-sustaining economy is mostly propped up by its various interdependent sectors. The sectors include housing industry, transportation industry, manufacturing (consumer goods, machinery) industry, food and pharmaceutical industry, mining industries, health care industry, financial industry and some other add on industries like entertainment, tourism, etc…

The economy is just like a circulation through these various interdependent industries. Just a single restriction in any one of them will certainly slow down the circulation and will cause problems in all others.

The aim of any government is to have all these industries operating at compatible paces so that none will be starved of its required resources.

A Real Estate Bubble occurs when people in the economy pledge too much of their resources (current possession and future earning) into their housing, denying resources to all other needs. This disrupts the economy hence weakens employment, making most of the pledge from those people untenable.


A person pledge to pay 90% of his future income into his housing will have no money for transportation and food, therefore he cannot keep his job and his pledge becomes untenable.

1. The underlying cause of Real Estate bubbles.

a. Buying a house involves a large amount of money that is hard to compare to daily experience of new buyers. New buyers are thus susceptible to sale pitches by speculators.

b. Speculators claiming shortage of land due to population growth, neglecting all other factors such as population control, population aging, emigration, outmoded economy, innovation, restructuring of the economy.

c. Speculators/developers giving overstretched, optimistic prediction on the utility of some sites to inflate their values. For example, speculators may claim a deserted intersection to become a future traffic hub or the center of a new city to sell its surrounding sites to uninformed buyers. On a larger scale, even Australia had been predicted (in 1990) by speculators to become the Financial Hub of rising Asian economies! It looks hilarious now but people did talk about that with straight faces before the Asian Financial Crisis of 1990.

d. There is a rush to convert other forms of wealth storage (gold, cash currency, foreign currency, company shares) into Real Estate holding. The rush may be caused by a  government’s threat of confiscation of private gold holdings, threat of demonetization, threat of national insolvency, or caused by the rising risk of share market collapse,..)

2. Good time when the bubble grows and terrible time when reality returns.

Every property owner feels good when the bubble grows. They feel clever. The ratios of their investment debts to their total assets are becoming smaller and smaller as the months come. Their happiness, wealthy feeling and the increased spending spread to people around them, strengthening the economy.

Due to higher prices of properties, the construction industry can operate at full speed, building new houses everywhere, leading to increased demands for cars and other consumer goods. Local governments with taxing authorities increase their tax revenues and embark on their grandiose schemes. Related industries subsequently grow but even then their rises still cannot create adequate numbers of newly affluent buyers for the overpriced houses. The growth of all industries still cannot catch up with the sudden rise in house prices. This INABILITY TO CATCH UP causes the resulting bursting of the price bubble.

When prices come back to reality, recent or late property investors worry about the ratios of their investment debts to their assets growing bigger with time. The debts may become unserviceable. Property investors therefore reduces their spending, effecting the economy. A recession of the economy is now a reality.

Property Developers not able to sell their products at anticipated prices, while having to pay their contractors and interests on their business loans may be forced to liquidate their unsold stocks (houses). Optimistic housing investors cannot rent out newly acquired houses may have to resell them to cut losses. These releases of houses on the market may cause some panic and amplify the price drops. People then try to cut their losses and reduce their spending. Banks worry about bad loans and may increase interest rates to cover for any possible loss. Many (mostly new) businesses (without deep pockets) will come under interest rate pressure and may go bankrupt.

3. A few foolish buyers will be on their own.

When only a few people paid too much for some Real Estate properties, they will be left to solve the problems on their own.

They may have to change their life plans or declare themselves bankrupt (depending on the custom and laws of their country).

4. A high proportion of tax payers buying overpriced/oversized properties may force the government into rescuing them. 

If too many tax paying, productive members of society have over-commited their future incomes on housing and Real Estate, usually the government will move in to slow down their purchases and make new laws to reduce speculators’ profit on reselling Real Estate with the aim of decelerating the growth of any Real Estate Bubble.

5. Any government can decelerate the growth of any Real Estate Bubble.

Any government can easily prevent the growth of any Real Estate Bubble with a number of actions.

a. The government may make transparent its town planning and acquisition compensation policies. This reduces site selection risk for its citizens and also widens their selectability of housing sites.

b. The government may increase central bank’s interest rate on housing loans to reduce availability of borrowed money feeding the Real Estate Bubble.

c. The government may impose some capital gain tax on property held only for short periods. It can also ACCELERATE ITS INFLATION to cause big, artificial capital gains on every change of ownership of a Real Estate and (unfairly or fairly) tax that artificial capital gain.

d. The government may build decentralized public housings to increase the number of affordable housings as well as improve transport system to reduce the need for “central living” close to city centers.

6. Inaction by a government may allow unfolding of unpleasant consequences.

If a government decides to profit from a Real Estate Bubble it will have to face the risk of having its general economy collapsing due to misallocation of resources.

a. The new buyers of Real Estate may go bankrupt, unable to keep their pledges to their lender banks.

b. The new owners of rental properties may require sky high rents to recover from their excessive purchase price. Tenants may decide to change their life style (accepting longer drives to work, not working in the city,…). This may cause too much vacancy on rental markets, causing bankruptcy of rental property owners and house construction companies.

c. Bankruptcy of rental property owners may cause forced sales of their rental properties, lowering their prices suddenly, causing lenders to review loans to rental property owners, and forcing additional owners to sell their properties in an already depressed market, this may cause even further fall in Real Estate prices. The bursting of the bubble may be more severe.

d. Price of those Real Estate properties can then drop more than 30% from their peaks (as had happened in 1990 in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia)

e. The bankruptcy of those rental properties investors may lead to the bankruptcy of their lenders.

The bankruptcy of Tricontinental in Geelong led to the insolvency of State Bank of Victoria and after that, Victoria State Premier Jeff Kenneth had to impose some once only property levy and one year petrol levy to stop the contagion of the crisis to the whole economy [1].

The development of a luxury brand new suburb with yatch docks in Melbourne nearly destroyed the lending bank Westpac (Australia) [2].

f. Insolvency of one single bank may make bank depositors withdrawing their money from all banks. This leads to the reversion to an all cash economy, upsetting many industries.

g. High inflation may then reduce trust on cash, forcing a gold or commodity based economy.

h. An economic recession may occur.

For the above possible consequences, the government may acts, bringing totally different consequences, which may or may not be any better.

7. Government fulfilling the overstretched projection by developers!

The government may also avoid the sudden collapse of RE properties by fulfilling the overstretched prediction of speculators!

a. It may create unnecessary shortage of land by IMPORTING VERY HIGH NUMBER OF IMMIGRANTS, irrespective of their prospects of integration and prospective contributions to the well being of existing citizens. (The flood of immigrants is pushing up Real Estate prices in London (Londonmabad?), Sydney, Melbourne of Australia, Vancouver of Canada as it has done in the past to Gold Coast of Australia (in 1970).

b. It may follow wild development ideas by speculators to create new towns where they are not really needed (The Vietnamese government’s plan (2015) to build an International Airport in Long Thanh, to push up land price in that area).

c. It may allow foreigners to buy RE Properties to prop up their prices.

d. It may print more money to SUPPORT the Real Estate Market.

e. The government may print more money to SUPPORT the BANKS. The government may lend banks so much money that they remain solvent but cannot pay the interest on those huge loans. So central bank interests remain low for subsequent decades (Japan has low interest rates for decades after the Asian Financial Crisis[3]).

f. It may indirectly give money to the banks by buying back unmatured bonds held by banks at face value! This is called QUANTITATIVE EASING.

8. Conclusion

An economy and its government may enjoy receiving stamp duties, capital gain taxes while the bubble grows but when Real Estate prices start coming to its sustainable level there will be unpleasant consequences. The latter far outweigh the benefits received when the bubble grew.


[1]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_Bank_of_Victoria

[2]. https://penguinunearthed.wordpress.com/2006/04/02/book-review-westpac-the-bank-that-broke-the-bank/

[3]. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_asset_price_bubble

[4].  https://survivaltricks.wordpress.com/2017/09/22/making-money-from-treasury-bonds-with-insider-information/

Added after 2017 Dec 26:

[5]. http://investmentwatchblog.com/on-this-christmas-the-american-mall-is-dying-is-there-any-bringing-it-back/


, posted on 17 April 2017 ,

, posted on 07 May 2017 ,

, posted on 10 Jun 2017 ,


The Parasites of Western Economy, Part 5: Company Asset Strippers and Conspirators posted on 13 August 2017 ,

  , Cashless bartering for survival, Federal Reserve Bank charges undeserved fees to Americans., A satirical guide to signs of an impending crash for small investorsYour fiat money (Part 2)Your fiat moneyBankers given outrageous incomes by their boardsSigns pointing to an impending crash for small investors,Bankers earn more than interest margin on secured loansCan most pension funds last? … all

Click here for my other blogs on SURVIVAL

Click here to go toHome Page (Navigation-Survival-How To-Money).


SUBSCRIPTION: [RSS – Posts], [RSS – Comments]

MENU:  [Contents][Blog Image of Contents ][Archives ] [About]


Beware of Fake WordPress.com sites.

by tonytran2015 (Melbourne, Australia).
#Trojan horse, #fake site, #WARNING, #DANGER, #cyber-fraud, #redirect

BEWARE of Fake WordPress.com sites.

When entering the word “wordpress.com” into the search box to carry out a Google Search, the results may give you a few fake sites. Any of those listings may trick you into entering it as a genuine site, but it redirects you instead to a fake site, from there you reveal your password and your account is compromised!

1. Always check the full heading in the address box of your browser.

Figure: Demonstration with an ACTUAL Google search for “WordPress.com” giving a result with the correct title line but redirecting to a totally different site sknvietnam.com (Screen captured on 2017 Oct 22-02h17GMT).

After clicking onto the search result, check that you have the address of the site you want.

In the example screen-captured here today, clicking on the result “WordPress.com/sknvietnam.com” (WordPress.com with sknvietnam.com on another line as in the photo) sends you to a login screen similar to WordPress.com login, but the address box has a long line appending after “https://wordpress.com/login “.

You have to be aware that appendage is usually not visible in the small address box of smartphones, tablets. In that case you may have your account and password captured by the strange site.

I carried out a Google Search and found that sknvietnam.com is only a fashion outlet, not a representative of WordPress.com. So things do not add up with that search result.

2. Only log in to the site with the correct address and with nothing else.

Sometimes a fake site can manage to stick a redirecting to the correct name to send your log in to a totally different site.

Sometimes a fake site also hides the front part of its long address from view leaving only the rear part visible, looking similar to a genuine address.

3. Immediately log out and change your password if the site looks differently.

Rather have false alarms than to have your sites or computers compromised.



Added after 2017 November 3rd: 

[2]. https://irishinfosecnews.wordpress.com/2017/11/03/poisoned-search-results-deliver-banking-malware/

Latest How to Blogs, , , , , Mung Beans as grains for self-reliance, Simple determination of East Asia lunisolar New Year

Click here to go to Divider63D400 Home Page (Navigation-Survival-How To-Money).

SUBSCRIPTION: [RSS – Posts], [RSS – Comments]

MENU: [Contents][Blog Image of Contents ][Archives ] [About]